Two storms forming

[JoeyandDavid]

500 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008

...FAY MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD SOUTH OF CENTRAL CUBA...MORE

CHANGES TO THE WARNINGS AND WATCHES...

AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE HURRICANE WATCH ON THE WEST COAST OF

FLORIDA IS EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO TARPON SPRINGS. A HURRICANE

WATCH IS IN NOW EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM SOUTH OF OCEAN

REEF TO KEY WEST...INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS AND FLORIDA BAY...AND

ALONG THE FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM CARD SOUND BRIDGE WESTWARD TO TARPON

SPRINGS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS

ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FROM THE PROVINCES OF

LA HABANA AND CIUDAD DE LA HABANA EASTWARD TO SANCTI SPIRITUS.

AT 5 PM...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL

STORM WARNING FOR THE PROVINCES OF PINAR DEL RIO AND ISLA DE LA

JUVENTUD...AND HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR

SOUTHEASTERN CUBA FROM THE PROVINCE OF LAS TUNAS EASTWARD. A

TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF CUBA FROM

CAMAGUEY WESTWARD.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CAYMAN BRAC AND

LITTLE CAYMAN.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS

FROM CRAIG KEY WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS...INCLUDING FLORIDA

BAY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS

ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF

FLORIDA FROM OCEAN REEF NORTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET...AND FOR LAKE

OKEECHOBEE. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM

CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36

HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GRAND CAYMAN ISLAND.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...THE NORTHWESTERN

BAHAMAS...AND THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS

OF FAY.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE

INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED

BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS

LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.2 WEST OR ABOUT 205

MILES...335 KM...SOUTHEAST OF HAVANA CUBA AND ABOUT 270 MILES...435

KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA.

FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR. A

TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AND A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED

TONIGHT...WITH A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH EXPECTED MONDAY OR MONDAY

NIGHT. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...FAY IS EXPECTED CROSS WESTERN CUBA

OVERNIGHT TONIGHT OR MONDAY MORNING...AND MOVE NEAR THE FLORIDA

KEYS MONDAY OR MONDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER

GUSTS. SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF

DAYS...AND FAY COULD BE APPROACHING HURRICANE STRENGTH WHEN IT

REACHES WESTERN CUBA TONIGHT AND WHEN IT APPROACHES THE FLORIDA

KEYS MONDAY OR MONDAY NIGHT.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM

FROM THE CENTER.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE

HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.

TIDES OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTH COAST

OF CUBA IN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA IN AREAS OF ONSHORE

WINDS. TIDES OF 2 TO 4 FT ABOVE NORMAL ARE POSSIBLE IN THE FLORIDA

KEYS IN THE WARNING AREA.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT AND MONDAY OVER THE

FLORIDA KEYS AND THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA.

FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8

INCHES OVER MUCH OF CUBA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12

INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND

MUD SLIDES. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE

OVER GRAND CAYMAN AND OVER THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS. HEAVY RAIN MAY

BEGIN TO AFFECT THE FLORIDA KEYS AND SOUTH FLORIDA TONIGHT AND INTO

MONDAY. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF

10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS AND SOUTH FLORIDA.

REPEATING THE 500 PM EDT POSITION...21.0 N...80.2 W. MOVEMENT

TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50

MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB.

[sailingrose]

Tomorrow should be interesting for sure.

Cheryl and Jason take cate!!!!

Jackie keep a watch and drive safely!

[Shari2]

Stay safe, everyone!!! You are all in my prayers.

[JoeyandDavid]

it now looks like that fort Lauderdale/ Miami area will be safe....but the rest of the state... whew!!

[sailingrose]

The waiting is always the worst!

[cruisingcats]

Thoughts and prayers to everyone who will or might be effected by Fay. Please stay safe my friends.

[coloradocruisers]

Ohhhh...right up the east side of Florida. Everyone gets wet. Please watch it carefully, those of you in the neighborhood.

For Joan's sister, who lives in Sarasota, it's worse than that: right up the WEST side of Florida. So far, the sister is very calm about it.

Well Joe, I guess it didn't matter after all. East coast, west coast...south coast. Fay's gonna cover all the bases; and everyone will get wet. Watch out Panama City, here she comes and she's a b****.

[zebra]

This is a perfect example of why Floridians don't get concerned until the day before it's due to hit - they have a mind of their own. First it was projected to hit Tampa and now Fay has unfortunately hit almost every city in Florida EXCEPT Tampa - we still have not seen her rain and winds. BUT we are ever vigilant, and know that living in Paradise had it's pitfalls - so we watch carefully as each storm comes our way, knowing that there is always the possibility of a hit. The best is always to be PREPARED!!

[coloradocruisers]

This is a perfect example of why Floridians don't get concerned until the day before it's due to hit - they have a mind of their own. First it was projected to hit Tampa and now Fay has unfortunately hit almost every city in Florida EXCEPT Tampa - we still have not seen her rain and winds. BUT we are ever vigilant, and know that living in Paradise had it's pitfalls - so we watch carefully as each storm comes our way, knowing that there is always the possibility of a hit. The best is always to be PREPARED!!

Very wise, you Floridians. Who knows? The way this one is going, it could do a 180, head south for a couple days, then make landfall in Tampa!

[sailingrose]

God Forbid!!!!!!!! I've had enough already!